One of my favorite things about working in this industry is talking to people from stations around the country about their work, hearing new ideas, and debating the state of things. As someone who’s often had concerns about the trajectory of public media, I’ve taken comfort in hearing colleagues who I respect talk about work that excites them: a podcast launch, a new fundraising technique, a concert series, a successful capital campaign, a creative collaboration, and more. However lately, the bright spots feel more rare. I hear fatigue and frustration in people’s voices, even when they’re talking about big projects that are the main focus of their work. I don’t know anyone who thinks public media is fine right now.
That weariness is warranted, because nearly every aspect of our business model is facing systemic downturns. With the exception of PBS Passport, new member acquisition is down across the system, and acutely enough at some stations to cause shrinking member files, despite impressive retention numbers. This is part of a broader nonprofit trend of declining donor numbers, down 10% in 2022, but also the first decline in total donation dollars since 2012. These downward trends in philanthropy in the United States may be related to declining trust in institutions, which includes record low trust in mass media, though local news has retained more confidence. Meanwhile, despite an early domination of the podcast space, our entire industry is still trying to figure out how to grow and monetize digital audiences. Disruptions in digital advertising and the rise of A.I. seems to be heralding the end of Web 2.0, the era dominated by user-generated content and social media, before we ever really got good at it.
The convergence of these multiple factors signals that public media is at an inflection point. This means the consequences from the accumulated factors can be greater than with one or two trends alone. But the potential for innovation is greater too. In order for public media to emerge from this inflection point, we must be honest with ourselves about what led us here, and leverage this moment to nimbly pivot in a new direction. This is an opportunity to better fulfill our public service mission and truly serve everyone. In doing so, we have the opportunity to secure a more sustainable future for public media.
Earlier this year, while we collectively grappled with the ‘end of Web 2.0’, and many felt big tech was facing its own inflection point, a former Google executive published a piece in which he defined what he felt to be the core failures of his former employer. The failures he identified read as very familiar to those of public media, in particular two of them: delusions of exceptionalism and mismanagement.